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64 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we may expect NZDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is > 185K. A price movement of 64 pips may be experienced.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Apr 12:30
08 Mar 13:30
02 Feb 13:30
08 Dec 13:30
01 Sep 12:30
02 Jun 12:30