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22 pip movement on USDCAD expected

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we may expect USDCAD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is < 38.9. A price movement of 22 pips may be experienced. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 May 05:00
29 Sep 05:00
30 Aug 05:00
31 May 05:00