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What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we may expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is < 65. A price movement of 22 pips may be experienced. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Mar 15:00
06 Nov 15:00
04 Aug 14:00
07 Jul 14:00
06 Jun 14:00