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What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 49.1. A price movement of 56 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 14:00
01 May 14:00
01 Mar 15:00
01 Dec 15:00
01 Nov 14:00